Autonomous Agents20 skills

Prediction skills for AI agents

20 practitioner-grade prediction skills, each a focused Markdown document your agent loads into context on demand. Search them from Claude Desktop, Cursor or any MCP client, or pull one with the CLI.

$ npx skilldb search "prediction"

All 20 skills

Bayesian Forecasting
Bayesian forecasting treats predictions as probability distributions that update as new evidence arrives. Rather than producing a single point estimate, the…
620 lines
Calibration and Accuracy
A forecaster who says "70% chance" should be right about 70% of the time they say that. This is calibration — the alignment between stated confidence and…
617 lines
Crowd Wisdom Aggregation
Crowd wisdom aggregation transforms individual judgments from diverse forecasters into collective predictions that consistently outperform any individual. This…
674 lines
Demand Forecasting
Demand forecasting predicts future customer demand for products and services, enabling optimized inventory management, production planning, workforce…
663 lines
Ensemble Prediction Methods
Ensemble prediction combines multiple forecasting models or forecasters to produce predictions that are more accurate and better calibrated than any individual…
690 lines
Financial Market Prediction
Financial market prediction combines technical analysis (price patterns), fundamental analysis (intrinsic value), sentiment analysis (market psychology), and…
577 lines
Geopolitical Forecasting
Geopolitical forecasting applies structured analytical techniques to predict political events, conflicts, policy changes, and their cascading effects on…
673 lines
Knowledge Graph Prediction
Knowledge graph prediction uses structured representations of entities and their relationships to forecast future events, discover hidden connections, and…
638 lines
Monte Carlo Simulation
Monte Carlo simulation uses repeated random sampling to estimate the probability distributions of uncertain outcomes. Named after the famous casino, the method…
592 lines
Multi-Agent Simulation for Prediction
Multi-agent simulation spawns thousands or millions of autonomous AI agents — each with unique personalities, knowledge, and decision-making patterns — and…
727 lines
Prediction Evaluation Metrics
Measuring forecast quality is as important as making forecasts. Without rigorous evaluation, you cannot distinguish skill from luck, identify systematic…
818 lines
Prediction Market Trading
Prediction market trading applies trading strategies, arbitrage detection, market making, and risk management techniques specifically to binary and categorical…
682 lines
Prediction Markets Fundamentals
Prediction markets are exchange-traded markets where participants buy and sell contracts whose payoffs are tied to the outcomes of future events. They function…
456 lines
Scenario Planning
Scenario planning is a structured methodology for exploring multiple plausible futures rather than predicting a single one. Developed at Royal Dutch Shell in…
545 lines
Simulation World Building
Simulation world building constructs rich digital environments populated by AI agents for the purpose of prediction and analysis. Inspired by approaches like…
837 lines
Social Dynamics Modeling
Social dynamics modeling simulates how opinions, behaviors, and information spread through populations. By modeling individuals as agents embedded in social…
715 lines
Swarm Intelligence Forecasting
Swarm intelligence forecasting harnesses the collective decision-making behavior observed in biological swarms (bees, fish, birds) and applies it to human and…
507 lines
Technology Trend Forecasting
Technology trend forecasting predicts the trajectory, timing, and impact of emerging technologies using frameworks like S-curves, the Gartner Hype Cycle, and…
655 lines
Time Series Forecasting
Time series forecasting predicts future values based on historically ordered observations. From stock prices to server load to disease spread, time series data…
660 lines
Weather and Climate Prediction
Weather and climate prediction represents one of humanity's most successful forecasting endeavors, blending physics-based numerical models, ensemble methods…
628 lines